NFL Week 13 Betting Preview: Early Picks Before Lines Shift

Week 12 of the NFL season is wrapping up, and as teams prepare for Week 13, betting lines have emerged. Early analysis reveals promising spread picks that could shift as the week progresses. Notable matchups include the Los Angeles Rams taking on the Carolina Panthers and the Chicago Bears facing the Philadelphia Eagles.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Carolina Panthers

The Rams are currently favored by 9.5 points against the Panthers, with the total set at 45.5. Following a commanding performance against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Rams showcased their dominance both offensively and defensively. With a crucial win that saw them lead the NFC South leaders decisively, the Rams now lead the NFL in expected points added (EPA) per play at 0.172 and allowed at -0.205 since their bye week in Week 8.

Quarterback Matthew Stafford has played a pivotal role in the Rams’ success. His performance has placed him at the top of the league in PFF passing grades, making the Rams’ passing game appear almost unstoppable. In contrast, the Panthers have struggled defensively, particularly in coverage, as they have allowed the fifth-highest EPA per dropback in the league over the past month. With two consecutive home losses, the Panthers are seeking consistency, but they face a formidable challenge.

Offensively, the Panthers rely on their ground game led by Rico Dowdle. However, they may find it difficult to establish the run against a Rams defense that ranks third in EPA per rush allowed over the past four games. The Rams’ blend of offensive prowess and defensive strength makes them a compelling bet.

Chicago Bears vs. Philadelphia Eagles

In another intriguing matchup, the Philadelphia Eagles are 7-point favorites as they host the Chicago Bears, with a total of 44.5. The Eagles’ offense struggled significantly in their recent game against the Dallas Cowboys, particularly after a strong start. Their inability to establish a ground game has raised concerns, especially without star tackle Lane Johnson. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has shown vulnerability under pressure, and when the Eagles struggle to run the ball, it impacts their overall offensive effectiveness.

On the other hand, the Bears’ offense continues to thrive, particularly on the ground. Quarterback Caleb Williams has showcased impressive escapability, helping the team maintain an effective offense. The Bears’ ability to consistently gain yards on the ground provides them with a solid foundation for success. Given the current spread, the Bears present an attractive betting option, especially considering the Eagles’ offensive inconsistencies.

As Week 13 approaches, bettors should keep a close eye on these matchups. The dynamics between these teams could lead to significant movement in betting lines as more information becomes available. With crucial games on the horizon, the early betting landscape offers exciting opportunities for those looking to capitalize on the upcoming NFL action.